Polymarket Trading Skill

Trade prediction markets and profit from your knowledge directly from Clawdbot.

Overview

This skill helps you:

• Understand Polymarket mechanics
• Find profitable trading opportunities
• Analyze market odds and sentiment
• Track positions and P&L
• Build automated alerts and strategies
• Prepare for the upcoming POLY distribution

What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where you trade shares representing outcomes of real-world events. If your prediction is correct, shares pay out $1. If wrong, they're worth $0.

Example: "Will it rain tomorrow?"

YES shares trading at $0.65
NO shares trading at $0.35

If you buy YES at $0.65 and it rains:
- You receive $1.00
- Profit: $0.35 (54% return)

If it doesn't rain:
- Shares worth $0.00
- Loss: $0.65

Getting Started

1. Setup Account

1. Visit polymarket.com
2. Connect with email or Web3 login
3. Deposit USDC (Polygon network)
4. Start trading

2. Understanding Shares

Each market has YES and NO shares
- Prices always sum to ~$1.00
- Price = implied probability
- $0.70 YES = 70% chance according to market

You can:
- Buy YES (bet it happens)
- Buy NO (bet it doesn't)
- Sell anytime before resolution

Polymarket API

Base URL

https://clob.polymarket.com
https://gamma-api.polymarket.com

Get Active Markets

# List all active markets
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?closed=false&limit=100" | jq '.[] | {question, slug, outcomePrices}'

Get Market Details

# Get specific market by slug
SLUG="will-trump-win-2024"
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug=$SLUG" | jq '.[0]'

Get Market by Condition ID

CONDITION_ID="0x..."
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?condition_id=$CONDITION_ID" | jq

Search Markets

# Search by keyword
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?tag=politics&closed=false" | jq '.[] | {question, outcomePrices}'

Get Order Book

# CLOB API for order book data
MARKET_ID="your-market-id"
curl -s "https://clob.polymarket.com/book?market=$MARKET_ID" | jq

Get Trade History

# Recent trades for a market
curl -s "https://clob.polymarket.com/trades?market=$MARKET_ID&limit=50" | jq

Market Categories

🏛️ Politics

- Elections (US, global)
- Policy decisions
- Legislation outcomes
- Government actions
- Geopolitical events

⚽ Sports

- Game outcomes
- Championship winners
- Player performance
- Transfer rumors
- Season records

💼 Business

- Earnings reports
- Product launches
- M&A activity
- IPO timing
- Executive changes

🎬 Entertainment

- Award shows
- Box office performance
- TV ratings
- Celebrity events
- Streaming numbers

🌡️ Science & Weather

- Climate data
- Space missions
- Scientific discoveries
- Natural events
- Health/pandemic