polymarket

What This Skill Does

The Polymarket Trading Skill enables OpenClaw to interact directly with the Polymarket prediction market ecosystem. It serves as an analytical bridge between raw market data and actionable insights. By leveraging the Polymarket CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) and Gamma APIs, this skill allows users to monitor real-time odds, analyze market sentiment, and track specific event probabilities across diverse sectors like politics, sports, and business. It acts as your personal trading assistant, converting complex decentralized finance data into clear information, helping you identify discrepancies in pricing or simply keep tabs on your active positions and potential P&L scenarios.

Installation

To integrate this skill into your OpenClaw environment, execute the following command in your terminal:

clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/jordanprater/polymarket-trading

Ensure that your OpenClaw environment has sufficient network permissions to reach the Polymarket API endpoints (clob.polymarket.com and gamma-api.polymarket.com) to allow for real-time data fetching.

Use Cases

• Automated Market Research: Quickly pull the latest odds for high-stakes political elections or upcoming sporting events without manually browsing the site.
• Portfolio Monitoring: Aggregate data on your active YES/NO share positions to calculate your current exposure and unrealized profit or loss.
• Sentiment Analysis: Use the implied probability (represented by share price) to gauge market consensus on news events as they break.
• Alert Configuration: Set up automated triggers to notify you when specific market conditions are met, such as an event probability crossing a certain threshold.
• Strategic Backtesting: Analyze historical trade data to evaluate how past market movements correlated with real-world outcomes.

Example Prompts

1. "What are the current YES/NO odds for the upcoming US presidential election and how have they moved in the last hour?"
2. "Show me all active markets in the technology sector and highlight any with high liquidity and narrow spreads."
3. "List my current open positions on Polymarket and calculate my total unrealized profit based on the latest mark-to-market prices."

Tips & Limitations

• Risk Awareness: Polymarket involves financial risk. This skill is for information and analysis; always verify orders before execution.
• API Rate Limits: The underlying Polymarket APIs have rate limits. High-frequency polling may lead to temporary access restrictions.
• Network Dependency: As a decentralized platform, market data depends on blockchain state and external feed accuracy; exercise caution during high-volatility events where latency may increase.