polymarket-autotrader

What This Skill Does

The Polymarket AutoTrader is a specialized high-frequency trading bot designed to exploit price volatility in BTC 5-minute prediction markets. It operates by monitoring the BTC price relative to its opening position within a 5-minute time window. If the price movement exceeds a $50 threshold in the final 30 seconds of the slot, the bot executes a Fill-or-Kill (FOK) order on the predicted outcome. With a target entry range of $0.92–$0.95 and a payout of $1.00, the strategy aims for a 5-8% profit per trade. It incorporates advanced risk management, including 2x position sizing for strong signals (≥$100 moves) and automated per-trade billing via skillpay.me.

Installation

To integrate this bot into your OpenClaw environment, use the following command: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/brettinhere/polymarket-autotrader

Ensure you have configured your environment variables, specifically POLY_PRIVATE_KEY and POLY_WALLET_ADDRESS. It is strictly recommended to use a dedicated, isolated environment and a fresh wallet with limited capital to minimize risk. After installation, review scripts/bot.js to verify the execution logic matches your expectations.

Use Cases

• Automated Yield Generation: Suitable for users looking to generate consistent alpha from predictable short-term market momentum without constant manual oversight.
• Volatility Arbitrage: Ideal for traders who want to capitalize on BTC price action during specific 5-minute windows.
• Algorithmic Testing: A robust template for developers looking to study how autonomous agents interact with decentralized CLOBs (Central Limit Order Books).

Example Prompts

1. "Check the current status and total profit of the polymarket-autotrader."
2. "Update the MIN_BTC_MOVE threshold to $75 and restart the trading session."
3. "Show me the last 5 trades logged in trades.json and identify the most profitable entry."

Tips & Limitations

• Risk Warning: This is a high-risk financial instrument. Always use a dedicated wallet with strictly limited funds.
• Network Dependence: The bot relies on stable connections to the Polymarket CLOB and Binance API. High latency can invalidate FOK orders.
• Environment Safety: Because the skill writes to .poly-creds.json and trades.json, ensure your host machine is secure and that no unauthorized processes have read access to your local data files.
• Strategy Limits: While the historical win rate is high, market conditions change. Monitor the bot during periods of extreme high volatility to avoid consecutive losses that trigger the $200 stop-loss limit.