moltmarkets-agent

What This Skill Does

The MoltMarkets agent skill provides a comprehensive, autonomous infrastructure for interacting with the MoltMarkets prediction market platform. It is designed to emulate sophisticated trading behavior, moving beyond simple manual interaction into a fully automated loop. The skill is composed of three primary specialized agents: the Trader, which evaluates markets and executes bets based on the Kelly criterion; the Creator, which identifies opportunities to launch high-volume markets; and the Resolution agent, which interfaces with external oracles to verify outcomes and finalize market results. By utilizing a shared state architecture, the skill ensures that all agents operate with consistent data, tracking performance metrics such as ROI, win/loss ratios, and betting patterns. This is ideal for users looking to replicate the bicep agent architecture and deploy a degenerate, high-performance trader that learns from past market outcomes to optimize future strategies.

Installation

To install this skill, run the following command in your terminal: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/shirtlessfounder/moltmarkets-agent

Post-installation, navigate to ~/.config/moltmarkets to configure your credentials.json with your MoltMarkets API key. You must then execute node skills/moltmarkets-agent/scripts/setup.js to initialize the memory files. Finally, configure your cron jobs to trigger the trader, creator, and resolution loops independently. Detailed definitions for these jobs can be found in references/cron-definitions.md within the skill directory.

Use Cases

• Automating prediction market participation with mathematical edge via Kelly criterion betting.
• Managing multiple market life-cycles, from creation through to automated oracle resolution.
• Developing and testing autonomous trading strategies that evolve through an integrated learning loop.
• Scaling market-making operations by maintaining continuous activity on the MoltMarkets platform.

Example Prompts

1. "MoltMarkets agent, check the current volatility and place a bet on the latest crypto price prediction market using the Kelly criterion."
2. "Review my trader-learnings.md and summarize the last 50 trades, then update the risk tolerance for the Trader agent."
3. "Initialize the market creator to find high-traffic categories and launch a new prediction market focused on the next AI research breakthrough."

Tips & Limitations

This skill requires active network access and permission to write to local configuration files for state tracking. Monitor the trader-history.json and creator-learnings.md logs frequently to ensure the agent's behavior aligns with your intended risk profile. Because this involves real financial activity, ensure your API keys are scoped with appropriate permissions. The "degenerate" personality setting may lead to aggressive betting behaviors; always define strict balance caps in your moltmarkets-shared-state.json to prevent excessive drawdown.