molt-pmxt

What This Skill Does

The molt-pmxt skill provides the OpenClaw agent with native, real-time access to the most prominent prediction markets on the internet, including Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless. Unlike traditional search tools that rely on outdated news or static datasets, this skill taps into the 'wisdom of the crowd' by extracting live probability data directly from market order books. This allows your agent to act as a sophisticated research assistant that performs fact-checking through financial sentiment, probability analysis, and even automated order execution for users who wish to participate in these markets directly.

Installation

To install this skill, run the following command in your terminal: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/realfishsam/molt-pmxt

Ensure that you configure your environment variables immediately after installation. You must provide valid private keys and API credentials for the specific exchange you intend to utilize. Failure to set these variables will result in the agent being unable to execute trades, though it will retain the ability to search and quote market prices.

Use Cases

This skill is designed for high-level decision support and active financial participation. Key use cases include:

• Event Probability Assessment: Quickly determining the market-implied likelihood of political, economic, or technological events.
• Objective Sentiment Analysis: Moving beyond the 'noise' of social media by looking at where traders are putting their capital.
• Automated Hedging: Using the pmxt_order function to take positions in markets to hedge against specific personal or project-related outcomes.
• Data-Driven Fact-Checking: Verifying rumors or news reports against the live odds currently being traded on reputable decentralized platforms.

Example Prompts

1. "What is the current market sentiment regarding the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve next month?"
2. "Search for markets related to the 2024 Presidential Election on Polymarket and tell me the probability of each major candidate winning."
3. "I want to hedge my position. Place a $50 buy order for the 'Yes' outcome on market ID: 12345 using my Polymarket credentials."

Tips & Limitations

• Keyword Strategy: When searching, always favor broad, short keywords. Avoid complex natural language queries, as the search index is optimized for categorical tags.
• Data Accuracy: Always prioritize the 'implied probability' derived from the price, rather than raw sentiment. Remember to convert float prices (e.g., 0.65) to percentages (65%) for clear communication.
• Safety Protocol: The pmxt_order function is high-risk. The agent is explicitly instructed to never execute an order without your explicit, manual confirmation of both the amount and the intended outcome.
• Exchange Latency: Be aware that Kalshi may exhibit higher latency compared to Limitless or Polymarket; use the latter if your workflow requires sub-second response times.