Prediction Market

What This Skill Does

The Prediction Market skill provides a seamless interface for interacting with the Garden Temp Market (GTM) on the Base network. It enables users to place predictive bets on whether the daily 18:00 UTC garden temperature will be higher or lower than the previous day's baseline. Built by potdealer, this decentralized application utilizes smart contract interactions to facilitate automated wagering and transparent, trustless settlement. Users can monitor current market conditions, check minimum bet requirements, and execute betting transactions directly through the OpenClaw agent, ensuring they remain active in the market without needing to manually interact with block explorers or CLI tools.

Installation

To install this skill, use the following command in your OpenClaw terminal: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/potdealer/prediction-market

Once installed, ensure your environment is configured for Base network transactions and that your private keys are secured in your environment variables for execution via cast or the provided Bankr API integration.

Use Cases

This skill is ideal for users looking to automate their participation in niche prediction markets. Use cases include:

1. Daily Temperature Speculation: Actively managing positions based on weather trends.
2. Decentralized Betting Portfolio: Adding a layer of fun, climate-themed financial speculation to your on-chain activity.
3. Automated Strategy Testing: Using OpenClaw's scheduling to execute bets consistently without manual oversight.

Example Prompts

1. "What is the current baseline temperature for the garden market and is it currently open for betting?"
2. "Check how much I have bet on the current GTM round and let me know if I need to increase it to meet the minimum."
3. "Place a bet of 0.05 ETH on the Garden Temp Market that the temperature will be HIGHER today."

Tips & Limitations

• Temperature Data: The baseline is returned as an integer; divide by 100 to get the value in degrees Celsius.
• Risk Management: Betting involves financial risk. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
• Market Mechanics: Remember that ties result in rollovers, and one-sided markets (where only one side has participants) result in a refund of your bet. Ensure you have sufficient ETH for gas fees on the Base network before attempting to place a transaction.