Torch Prediction Market Kit

You're here because you want to run prediction markets on Torch Market -- and you want to do it safely.

Every prediction market is a Torch token. The bonding curve is the AMM -- no LP setup, deterministic pricing, instant liquidity. The 10% treasury accumulates fees from every buy. Users buy the token to bet YES (price goes up), sell to bet NO (price goes down). At the deadline, the oracle checks the outcome and the bot records it.

Settlement model: token-as-signal. No payout mechanism. The token price IS the prediction. The bonding curve and treasury do the work.

That's where this bot comes in.

It reads your markets.json file, creates Torch tokens for pending markets, seeds them with initial liquidity from your vault, monitors price and volume, and resolves them at the deadline using an oracle (CoinGecko price feed or manual). All value routes through your vault. The agent wallet that signs transactions holds nothing.

This is not a read-only scanner. This is a fully operational market maker that generates its own keypair, verifies vault linkage, creates tokens, seeds liquidity, and resolves markets autonomously in a continuous loop.

How It Works

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                   MARKET CYCLE LOOP                       │
│                                                          │
│  1. Load market definitions from markets.json            │
│  2. For each pending market:                             │
│     → buildCreateTokenTransaction(name, symbol, uri)     │
│     → sign + submit + confirm                            │
│     → buildBuyTransaction(vault, mint, seed SOL)         │
│     → sign + submit + confirm                            │
│     → update status to 'active', save mint address       │
│  3. For each active market:                              │
│     → getToken(mint) — snapshot price, volume, holders   │
│     → if deadline passed:                                │
│        → checkOracle(oracle) — price feed or manual      │
│        → update status to 'resolved', record outcome     │
│  4. Save updated markets.json                            │
│  5. Sleep SCAN_INTERVAL_MS, repeat                       │
│                                                          │
│  All SOL comes from vault. Agent wallet holds nothing.   │
│  Vault is the boundary.                                  │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

The Agent Keypair

The bot generates a fresh Keypair in-process on every startup. No private key file. No environment variable (unless you want to provide one). The keypair is disposable -- it signs transactions but holds nothing of value.

On first run, the bot checks if this keypair is linked to your vault. If not, it prints the exact SDK call you need to link it: