polymarket

What This Skill Does

The Polymarket skill for OpenClaw provides a powerful interface for interacting with the world's leading prediction market platform. It allows users to query real-time odds, track market volatility, and monitor trending events directly from their terminal or AI agent environment. Whether you are tracking political elections, economic indicators, or sports outcomes, this skill provides structured data ingestion to help you stay ahead of market sentiment. Key capabilities include event searching, monitoring price momentum, and managing a personalized watchlist. It also features a simulated paper trading engine that allows users to test their predictive strategies without risking real capital, making it an excellent tool for quantitative analysis and hobbyist market research.

Installation

To install this skill, use the OpenClaw CLI tool. Ensure your environment has the necessary dependencies to execute Python scripts as specified in the source repository.

Installation Command: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/joelchance/polymarketodds

Once installed, verify the connection to the Polymarket API by running a simple test query: python3 {baseDir}/scripts/polymarket.py trending

Use Cases

• Quantitative Analysis: Track price movements and volume to identify alpha in high-liquidity prediction markets.
• Portfolio Simulation: Use the paper trading module to validate investment theses by simulating trades on various event outcomes.
• Sentiment Monitoring: Stay updated on global events by monitoring the odds for major political and economic markers, which often serve as a leading indicator for mainstream news coverage.
• Automated Alerting: Set up cron jobs to notify you when specific market conditions are met, such as a major shift in probability for an outcome you are tracking.

Example Prompts

1. "Check the current odds for the upcoming presidential election and show me the biggest movers over the last 24 hours."
2. "Add the Bitcoin $100k end-of-year market to my watchlist and notify me if the probability of the 'Yes' outcome drops below 40%."
3. "Run a summary of the politics category and tell me which markets have seen the highest trading volume today."

Tips & Limitations

• Paper Trading: Always remember that the internal buy/portfolio commands are for simulation purposes only. They do not interface with your real cryptocurrency wallet or actual exchange accounts.
• Data Latency: Market data is fetched via API; while generally fast, avoid intensive polling loops that could lead to rate limiting.
• Resolution Calendar: Use the calendar command frequently to stay aware of upcoming expiration dates, as liquidity often dries up near the resolution window.
• Market Volatility: Prediction markets are speculative. Use the momentum scanner to identify anomalies, but always cross-reference with primary news sources before drawing conclusions.