polymarket-analysis

What This Skill Does

The polymarket-analysis skill is a robust toolkit designed for OpenClaw users to interface with Polymarket prediction markets. It provides comprehensive, multi-modal analysis of market data, user wallet performance, and price action without executing any trades. By leveraging direct API access, this skill allows you to uncover hidden trading edges, track sophisticated "whale" wallets, and monitor price volatility across various market event types. It acts as an analytical bridge, interpreting complex order book data and blockchain transactions to provide actionable insights into sentiment and momentum.

Installation

To install this skill, use the ClawHub command within your terminal. Ensure your OpenClaw environment is initialized before running the following command:

clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/hiehoo/polymarket-analysis

Once installed, you can verify the setup by navigating to the source repository or reviewing the provided script documentation in the references/ folder of the skill directory.

Use Cases

• Arbitrage Discovery: Automatically identify instances where the combined cost of YES and NO shares falls below $1.00, signaling a risk-free profit opportunity.
• Whale Tracking: Monitor the movement of large capital by tracking specific wallet addresses for high-value trade entries and exits.
• Sentiment Aggregation: Correlate news and social sentiment with market price shifts to predict potential movement before it is reflected in the order book.
• Technical Analysis: Utilize built-in scripts to generate momentum signals using RSI and Moving Averages for ongoing prediction markets.

Example Prompts

1. "Analyze the current market for 'Will BTC reach 100k by year end?' and report any significant whale activity over the last 24 hours."
2. "Check wallet 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5 on Polymarket and provide a summary of their P&L and recent top trades."
3. "Monitor the 'Election 2024' market and alert me if there is a price swing greater than 5% within any one-hour window."

Tips & Limitations

• Read-Only Focus: This skill does not support trade execution. You must use a separate, authorized trading interface to place orders.
• API Rate Limits: Frequent polling of the Gamma and CLOB APIs may result in temporary bans. Use the monitor-polymarket-market.py script with moderate intervals.
• Data Accuracy: Always cross-reference high-impact alerts with the official Polymarket website to confirm current market states, as API latency can vary during high-volatility events.