kalshi

What This Skill Does

The Kalshi skill for OpenClaw provides a comprehensive read-only interface to the Kalshi prediction markets platform. It empowers users to track real-world events, analyze financial and political market sentiment, and monitor personal portfolio performance without needing to interact with a web browser manually. By integrating directly with Kalshi's API, the skill retrieves real-time pricing, liquidity data, and market trends for a wide array of categories including economics, politics, and technology. It focuses on data extraction and analytical insights rather than execution, ensuring that users can make informed decisions based on market-derived probabilities and expected value calculations.

Installation

To get started, first ensure your environment has the necessary dependencies by running pip install requests cryptography. Next, if you wish to monitor personal positions, you must create an account at Kalshi and generate an API key. Save your Private Key as ~/.kalshi/private_key.pem and store your Key ID in ~/.kalshi/credentials.json. For users who prefer a streamlined setup, running python scripts/kalshi_portfolio.py setup will guide you through the authentication configuration automatically. The skill is installed via the command clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/henrik-openclaw/kalshi.

Use Cases

This skill is ideal for researchers, financial analysts, and enthusiasts of prediction markets. You can use it to track the probability of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, monitor election outcome forecasts, or analyze price fluctuations in crypto assets. Analysts can leverage the 'opportunities' feature to filter for high-confidence, high-payoff contracts, enabling efficient market scanning. Furthermore, it serves as a lightweight dashboard for traders who want to quickly check their P&L, balance, and transaction history without logging into the full web interface.

Example Prompts

1. "What are the current trending markets on Kalshi regarding the upcoming Fed interest rate decision?"
2. "Search for bitcoin-related markets and tell me if there are any high-payoff opportunities with over 85% probability."
3. "Show me my current portfolio balance and my most recent trade history from Kalshi."

Tips & Limitations

This skill is strictly READ-ONLY. While you can analyze and view market potential, you cannot place or cancel trades through this integration. Always ensure your local environment's time is set to UTC to match the API's timestamp format. Remember that the 'opportunities' analyzer uses a standard expected value formula (EV/cost > 0.1); use this as a baseline, but always conduct your own due diligence. Because this skill accesses financial data, ensure your private key file permissions are strictly set to 600 to prevent unauthorized access by other system users.