polymarket-user-analyzer

What This Skill Does

The polymarket-user-analyzer is a powerful data-centric agent skill designed to parse, aggregate, and visualize the trading history of any Polymarket participant. By resolving usernames to their underlying blockchain wallet addresses, the skill taps into the Polymarket Data API to reconstruct complex trading timelines. It processes raw transaction logs into actionable insights, calculating performance metrics like win rates, ROI, and risk-adjusted returns. Beyond simple statistics, it identifies distinct trading behaviors such as momentum chasing, value investing, or high-frequency scalping, allowing users to understand the 'why' behind a participant's success or failure in prediction markets.

Installation

To integrate this tool into your OpenClaw environment, execute the following command in your terminal: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/future1001/polymarket-user-analyzer

Ensure your system has the required dependencies for network requests and JSON processing installed as per the OpenClaw documentation.

Use Cases

• Strategy Benchmarking: Evaluate how top-ranked Polymarket traders consistently outperform the market and apply those lessons to your own portfolio.
• Market Research: Identify 'smart money' influencers within specific categories like US Politics or Crypto-Asset price discovery.
• Portfolio Auditing: Perform an in-depth review of your own trading history to identify biases, such as over-exposure to long-shot 'No' outcomes or poor risk management in high-leverage situations.
• Educational Analysis: Use the tool to generate case studies on market movements during major world events by analyzing the aggregate behavior of high-volume traders.

Example Prompts

1. "Analyze @vague-sourdough and tell me if they are a value investor or a momentum chaser based on their recent entries."
2. "Perform a deep dive on this wallet address: 0x8c74b4eef9a894433B8126aA11d1345efb2B0488. What is their win rate on crypto prediction markets?"
3. "Generate a performance report for my trading history. Are my position sizes too large relative to my total capital?"

Tips & Limitations

• API Rate Limiting: The skill relies on external Polymarket APIs; heavy usage for large datasets may trigger rate limits. Use sparingly for large accounts.
• Data Privacy: This tool only accesses public ledger and API data. It does not access private keys or authorize transactions.
• Win Rate Nuance: 'Win Rate' is calculated based on realized trades. Some long-term positions may remain open or have hedged entries, which can slightly skew simple win/loss ratios.
• Resolution Speed: Usernames with special characters or very new accounts might occasionally fail to resolve to a wallet; if this occurs, try providing the raw hex wallet address directly.