mia-polymarket-trader

What This Skill Does

Mia Polymarket Trader is a sophisticated AI agent designed to automate decision-making and execution within Polymarket prediction markets. By integrating advanced analytical capabilities with direct blockchain-based execution, this skill allows users to monitor real-time event probabilities, detect arbitrage opportunities, and manage complex trading positions without manual oversight. It processes market sentiment, historical data, and live odds to determine optimal entry and exit points, ensuring that your trading strategy remains consistent and responsive to volatile market shifts.

Installation

To integrate the Mia Polymarket Trader into your OpenClaw environment, ensure you have your API credentials and wallet private key ready. Execute the following command in your terminal:

clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/arubiku/mia-polymarket-trader

After installation, you must set your environment variables to authenticate securely:

export POLYMARKET_API_KEY="your-key" export POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY="your-wallet-key"

Once configured, you can initialize the skill and begin analyzing markets using the CLI command: mia-polymarket analyze --market "market-name".

Use Cases

This skill is ideal for quantitative traders who want to capitalize on high-frequency prediction market events. It is particularly effective for:

1. Event-Driven Betting: Automatically hedging or doubling down on political or technological outcomes based on news cycles.
2. Arbitrage Opportunities: Detecting price discrepancies between different market outcomes to lock in risk-adjusted profits.
3. Portfolio Diversification: Managing multiple small-position bets across various categories like crypto-prices, election results, or scientific breakthroughs, while maintaining strict risk controls.

Example Prompts

1. "Mia, analyze the latest trends in the tech-ai category and identify the top three markets with the highest probability of an 'yes' outcome."
2. "Execute a trade for the market-id '12345' with a position of 'yes' for an amount of 50 USDC, provided the current risk level is below 4%."
3. "Summarize my performance for the last 24 hours, highlighting any closed positions, realized gains, and the current active risk exposure."

Tips & Limitations

To maximize effectiveness, always define your risk parameters clearly in your configuration file. The agent enforces a 5% max portfolio limit and a 20% stop-loss by default for your protection, but these should be reviewed against your personal risk tolerance. Note that this skill requires direct access to your private keys to execute transactions; always secure your environment variables. The agent performs best when provided with reliable data feeds; ensure your network connection is stable during active trading sessions to avoid incomplete order execution.