polymarket-simmer-fastloop

What This Skill Does

The polymarket-simmer-fastloop skill is a sophisticated automated trading agent designed specifically for high-frequency, short-duration markets on Polymarket. It targets BTC, ETH, and SOL pairs with 5 or 15-minute expiration windows. At its core, the skill utilizes a mean reversion strategy, identifying momentum exhaustion via Binance market data to trade against the prevailing short-term trend. It features a robust "Pre-Caching (Ignition)" mechanism that monitors market metadata to ensure execution even during API blackout windows when markets are newly opened. The skill includes advanced risk management, such as fee-accurate expected value (EV) calculations, time-of-day filters to avoid liquidity droughts, and volatility-adjusted position sizing, ensuring that the agent remains conservative during high-market variance.

Installation

To integrate this skill into your OpenClaw environment, execute the following command in your terminal: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/andrewbrownrd/polymarket-simmer-fastloop

Once installed, you must configure your environment variables. Retrieve your API key from simmer.markets and set it using export SIMMER_API_KEY="your-key-here". For live trading, you will need to provide your WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY and set the TRADING_VENUE to polymarket. Always prioritize security by keeping your private keys encrypted and never sharing your environment files.

Use Cases

1. High-Frequency Market Making: Capitalizing on order book imbalances in short-expiry prediction markets.
2. Algorithmic Arbitrage: Leveraging the speed of the Simmer SDK to enter positions ahead of slower retail participants.
3. Momentum Trading: Automating entry and exit points for rapid market spikes using institutional flow data as a primary filter.
4. Paper Trading Simulation: Testing aggressive strategies in the simmer paper environment to validate alpha before committing real USDC.

Example Prompts

1. "OpenClaw, run the fastloop skill in paper mode to test the mean reversion strategy on BTC 5-minute markets for the next hour."
2. "Display the current win rate and P&L statistics for my recent live Polymarket trades using the fastloop skill."
3. "Check if there are any upcoming fast markets for ETH and enable the liquidity-aware trading filter to avoid low-volume sessions."

Tips & Limitations

• Alpha Source: The default strategy is a template. The real power comes from modifying the signals—try integrating social sentiment or cross-venue arbitrage models to gain an edge.
• Risk Management: Always use the paper trading environment (simmer) extensively before deploying real capital. The market is volatile, and fast-loop trading requires careful monitoring of slippage and gas fees.
• Time Filters: Do not disable the 02:00–06:00 UTC filter unless you are prepared for significant slippage due to low liquidity.
• Dependencies: Ensure your node environment or local system clock is synchronized to prevent timestamp mismatches with the exchange API.