polymarket-agent

What This Skill Does

The polymarket-agent is an autonomous AI companion designed specifically for prediction market participants. By bridging real-time market data from the Polymarket API with live web-based news and sentiment analysis, it transforms raw trading data into actionable intelligence. This skill empowers users to make data-driven decisions by cross-referencing live odds against external news, social media trends, and expert forecasts. Whether you are tracking geopolitical events, crypto price movements, or interest rate decisions, the agent acts as a diligent research assistant and execution partner, helping you identify discrepancies between market sentiment and real-world probability.

Installation

After adding the skill via clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/andretuta/polymarket-agent, follow the post-install setup:

Linux/Mac: Navigate to the skill folder, ensure install.sh is executable, and run it. Windows: Run install.bat inside the skill directory. Manual: Use pip install -r requirements.txt, followed by pip install -e . and poly setup to configure your wallet credentials.

Use Cases

• Arbitrage Opportunity Identification: Compare Polymarket odds with major news outlets to find mispriced markets.
• Sentiment Analysis: Monitor X (Twitter) and Reddit threads to gauge public perception on political or economic outcomes.
• Portfolio Management: Automatically monitor your USDC balance and existing positions to rebalance as events unfold.
• Event-Driven Research: Automatically fetch the latest headlines, polling data, or economic reports related to your active bets.

Example Prompts

1. "Check the current odds for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and find the latest news headlines regarding inflation projections to see if the market is accurately priced."
2. "Search for the latest polling data for the upcoming presidential election and compare it against the current Polymarket sentiment; are there any profitable entry points?"
3. "List my current positions on Polymarket and provide a brief news summary for each market I am currently invested in."

Tips & Limitations

• Validation is Key: Always verify the agent's analysis against primary sources before committing significant capital. The agent uses AI to summarize data, which can occasionally misinterpret nuances in news reports.
• Wallet Security: Ensure your environment is secure. The poly setup command stores wallet information locally; manage access to your machine accordingly.
• Risk Management: While the agent can provide autonomous trade suggestions, it is recommended to set strict limits on position sizes and maintain manual oversight for high-value transactions.