simmer-mertsniper

What This Skill Does

The simmer-mertsniper skill is an advanced automated trading tool for Polymarket designed to execute near-expiry conviction bets. Based on the strategy popularized by @mert, the agent monitors markets that are minutes away from resolution. It scans for scenarios where the betting odds have become heavily skewed, indicating potential mispricing or strong market consensus as the final outcome approaches. By filtering based on user-defined topics, betting caps, and specific probability thresholds (splits), the agent executes precise, time-sensitive trades. It operates by default in a 'dry-run' mode, allowing users to observe potential trades without risking capital until they are ready to toggle live execution via the --live flag.

Installation

To integrate the skill into your OpenClaw agent, use the following command in your terminal: clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/adlai88/simmer-mertsniper

Ensure you have your Simmer API key ready, obtained from the SDK tab at simmer.markets/dashboard. Export this to your environment as SIMMER_API_KEY to allow the agent to interface with the Polymarket API.

Use Cases

• Last-Minute Arbitrage: Capturing value in markets where the outcome is nearly certain but the liquidity is still allowing for favorable odds.
• Specific Niche Betting: Focusing exclusively on markets like 'SOL' or 'crypto' to automate entry into high-conviction events without manual oversight.
• Risk Management: Enforcing strict loss-capping and automated sizing to ensure no single market fluctuation drains the agent's wallet.
• Automated Sniping: Removing the need to watch the terminal during the final minutes of a high-volatility event.

Example Prompts

1. "Run the simmer-mertsniper with a max bet of $5 and focus only on crypto markets."
2. "Check my current positions and active trades using the mert sniper status tool."
3. "Start the mert-sniper in live mode for solana markets, limiting trades to a 3-minute expiry window."

Tips & Limitations

• Always Dry-Run First: Never start with --live until you have observed the agent's behavior in your specific market conditions.
• Market Liquidity: Be aware that sniping very small markets might lead to slippage; verify the market depth before setting high caps.
• Safeguards: The agent includes built-in safeguards. Use --no-safeguards with extreme caution as this removes risk-mitigation checks.
• Volatility: During high-volatility events, API latency can impact trade execution. Monitor your terminal closely when trading near the absolute deadline.