polymarket-wallet-xray

What This Skill Does

The polymarket-wallet-xray skill transforms your AI agent into a forensic financial analyst. By hooking into Polymarket's public CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) APIs, it performs deep-dive audits on any Ethereum-based wallet address. It is directly inspired by the 'Autopsy of a Polymarket Whale' framework, focusing on uncovering the 'why' behind trader performance. It tracks critical metrics like win rates, average entry quality, market hedge ratios, and identifies potential bot-like behavior or high-frequency market-making patterns. It is designed to turn raw chain and order data into actionable intelligence for researchers, enabling you to dissect the decision-making processes of top-tier market participants.

Installation

To integrate this analysis capability into your agent, run the following command in your terminal:

clawhub install openclaw/skills/skills/adlai88/polymarket-wallet-xray

Ensure your OpenClaw environment is active before triggering the installation.

Use Cases

• Strategy Development: Study the entry and exit timing of high-performing wallets to refine your own trading model.
• Market Research: Analyze the distribution of capital in specific binary outcome markets to identify whether 'whales' are hedging or betting directionally.
• Bot Detection: Filter out or flag wallets that exhibit programmatic order placement, providing a clearer view of human-driven market sentiment.
• Comparative Analysis: Use the comparison feature to evaluate the discipline of two different wallets, checking for differences in risk management, such as stop-loss placement or position sizing consistency.

Example Prompts

1. 'Run an autopsy on wallet 0xabc...123 and summarize their top 3 most profitable trades in the last month.'
2. 'Compare the trading style of 0x111... to 0x222... on the current Bitcoin election market. Who shows more signs of disciplined accumulation?'
3. 'Identify the top 5 wallets with the highest Time Profitable metric in the "Will the Fed cut rates?" market and output their average trade size.'

Tips & Limitations

This tool is strictly for educational and analytical research. Past performance is not indicative of future results. A wallet that was profitable during a historical event may have been lucky, utilized inside information, or traded in a market environment that no longer exists. Do not use this skill to automate trade execution or 'copy-trade' signals. Always maintain a critical lens: high win rates can be masks for 'gambler's ruin' strategies where one bad trade wipes out months of gains. Use this data as a feedback loop for your own analytical models rather than a source of truth for financial investment.